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The Continuing Death of ROAS

For a long time, all we had were clicks. Paid search marketers bought keywords and ‘traffic’. The engines reported on click counts and costs. But they couldn’t tell you anything about sales and revenue.

Web analytics packages, on the other hand, identified paid search traffic and associate the engine and the keyword with the revenue. But they didn’t have cost-per-keyword data. So for some time we were left to eyeball (or painfully match up in spreadsheets) the interplay between cost and revenue.

roas.jpgSeveral years ago the two began to meet. Google and Yahoo added ‘conversion tracking’, and added API’s that enabled cost data to be pushed into web analytics packages. Suddenly, if you could properly tag your site (often no simple feat) and get the API’s to work properly (often an intermittent miracle) it became possible to see how many orders and how much revenue each $dollar of paid search (or each explicit keyword, adgroup, etc.) was generated. We entered the era of ROAS.

Compared with having no meaningful relationship between cost and revenues, this was a great advance. But as mentioned in the first post in this set, return-on-ad-spend (ROAS) is a very limited and superficial way to measure results and success.

The problem is that ROAS ignores the cost of goods or services (plus many other fixed marketing costs) and gives the impression that every dollar returned above those spent for the advertising is a positive result. A 400% ROAS, for example, sounds terrific.

ROAS-to-ROI.JPG But if your margins are 25%, to take one simple example, you need a 400% ROAS just to break even. The chart below gives further examples of the ROAS required to hit certain ROI depending on your average margin.

Most businesses don’t have consistent margins across their product lines or service offerings, so the simplicity of translating ROAS into ROI in your head isn’t practical. And with promotions impacting online pricing - coupons, discounts, and special offers – actual margin calculations can vary sale by sale. To further complicate things, ROAS is reported on a keyword basis, but revenue is often generated from a basket of products that themselves have different margins.

The deeper you look, the less relevant and less useful ROAS becomes.

Comments

This is an excellent example of a concept that seems so obvious once pointed out, but in reality has been hiding fairly well from view.

My business, which manages the advertising budgets of attorneys and delivers them business leads, runs into an even more complex issue with respect to ROI and ROAS. Since we are spending the attorneys money (and not our own), it can get blurry keeping track of whose money is being spent and who is getting what return. Accordingly, the standard ROAS numbers coming out of Google Analytics or Omniture are nearly unusable (even with your handy "ROAS to ROI Lookup").

-Drew

Quick question - since CPC advertising is an open market, do you think CPC prices will come down as people begin realizing they are trying to get over the hurdle gross margin, rather than revenue?

Next - I don't think it is a lot to ask analysts to keep a separate spreadsheet to keep track of the actual profitability of a campaign.

Craig, I would be interested in your thoughts.

Wow, very cool idea that table! I nominate it for the home page of clickz.ocm, searchenginewatch.com, and webanalyticsassociation.com to help bring down ROAS.

It is probably not too much asking to include COGS in the calculation. However, the real ROI metric includes more stuff that is much more difficult to include. Namely, a.) not just immediate sales but subsequent ones, b.) but not all subsequent sales however, only those that wouldn't have happened without this campaign, c.) overhead costs, d.) future sales discounted to NPV. Oufff, ... as much as all that makes sense, is it any wonder that we are looking for some valid shortcut?

Akin,

Read Jim Novo. He gets into the Liftime Value of the Customer. If you have that metric established you can afford to "lose" (spend) quite a bit of money in your marketing efforts.

Wilson K.

Wilson - I think it will be some time before that happens. The alternative future is that people start spending more time on conversion, push up the results and therefore value, and prices increase. We'll see.

Thanks for providing me such a good information. I am planning to go for google adwords very soon.

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